Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.023243 0.025631 0.028009 0.030548 0.033178 0.035816 0.038658
2025-02-09 0.017818 0.021568 0.025434 0.029686 0.034207 0.038845 0.043943
2025-02-16 0.014795 0.019434 0.024358 0.029898 0.035899 0.042152 0.049113
2025-02-23 0.012325 0.017554 0.023258 0.029808 0.037015 0.044615 0.053163
2025-03-02 0.010217 0.015840 0.022146 0.029526 0.037759 0.046535 0.056487
2025-03-09 0.008553 0.014467 0.021282 0.029397 0.038563 0.048422 0.059679
2025-03-16 0.006827 0.012849 0.020013 0.028706 0.038653 0.049448 0.061861
2025-03-23 0.005746 0.011926 0.019483 0.028796 0.039560 0.051323 0.064916
2025-03-30 0.004576 0.010762 0.018583 0.028393 0.039855 0.052472 0.067131
2025-04-06 0.003430 0.009490 0.017469 0.027672 0.039735 0.053115 0.068746
2025-04-13 0.002249 0.007971 0.015941 0.026384 0.038904 0.052913 0.069380
2025-04-20 0.001854 0.007618 0.015895 0.026874 0.040121 0.055006 0.072552
2025-04-27 0.001226 0.006821 0.015319 0.026822 0.040853 0.056722 0.075510
2025-05-04 0.000544 0.005657 0.014186 0.026071 0.040782 0.057562 0.077544
2025-05-11 0.000237 0.005087 0.013836 0.026283 0.041838 0.059681 0.081005
2025-05-18 0.000030 0.004427 0.013288 0.026199 0.042509 0.061331 0.083913
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003745 0.012632 0.025931 0.042926 0.062660 0.086433
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003191 0.012113 0.025809 0.043495 0.064146 0.089109
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002483 0.011234 0.025155 0.043376 0.064800 0.090812
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002120 0.010912 0.025240 0.044157 0.066499 0.093696
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001638 0.010280 0.024858 0.044331 0.067462 0.095718
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001131 0.009468 0.024177 0.044099 0.067922 0.097142
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000586 0.008335 0.022959 0.043146 0.067497 0.097517